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10th October 2019
09:08am BST
A television screen shows to the media, the potential impact of typhoon Hagibis as they announce World Cup match cancellations at a press conference in Tokyo, Japan. (Photo by David Rogers/Getty Images)[/caption]
If the local authorities feel it is still not safe to ask 72,000 fans to head along to Yokohama International Stadium, on Sunday afternoon, the game between hosts Japan and Scotland will be scrubbed too.
Should that happen, Scotland's World Cup will be over. They will finish on 12 points and be heading home.
Japan would finish on 16 points and would top Pool A, even if Ireland secure a bonus point win over Samoa. An Irish bonus point win would leave them on 16 points too, but Japan would finish top as they won the head-to-head meeting.
Ireland's only chance of not facing New Zealand in a (potential) quarter final would be for Japan to play and lose, and not pick up a bonus point.So, how did we get here? The decision to cancel the matches in cities that are predicted to cop the brunt of Typhoon Hagibis is correct - safety comes first - but what of the 'robust contingency programme' that World Rugby bleated about?
Japan were awarded the Rugby World Cup at a World Rugby meeting in Dublin, back in July 2009.
On average, the country is usually visited by seven typhoons a year with at least three hitting the mainland. A leading Japanese travel website states:
'While Japan sits at the top of many general safety rankings... it is prone to natural disasters such as typhoons, earthquakes, tsunamis and volcanic eruptions.''While most are small in scale,' the site stresses, 'it's important to be prepared.' Japan's last volcano eruption was in 2014, with the two previous coming in 2005 and 1997. It has not had a major earthquake since 2012 but there were nine between 2010 and 2012, the most devastating of which was the Tohoku earthquake and tsunami, which left an estimated 15,881 dead. Given the country's history of regular natural disasters, one would have expected World Rugby to have insisted on contingency plans should dangerous weather conditions threaten games. Japan, it can be strongly argued, should not have been awarded the hosting rights if they did not come up with alternatives to possible game cancellations [such as playing matches indoors at venues away from the adverse weather] or coming up with flexible plans to stage games on the day before or after match-day. The risks of staging a World Cup in Japan were surely considered but it now appears that the best Plan B anyone could come up with was calling off games and declaring them 0-0 draws. One year to prepare a bid. 10 years to plan after the tournament was awarded to Japan and here we are, waiting on weather forecasts on the morning of a game that could see Scotland go home without kicking a ball. For Italy, it is four years of preparation and sacrifice all to face off against the likes of New Zealand in a must-win game to make the quarter final. Gone. For Scotland, it is the same. A chance to beat the hosts in front of a raucous home crowd and make the last eight, against the odds. Gone. For the fans, it is the fine print of their matchday ticket telling them that these things happen and there is nothing they can do. Thousands upon thousands spent and we're sorry but that's life. A natural disaster has caused huge disruption and match cancellations at the Rugby World Cup and nobody is surprised. What a mess.
